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This piece seems to be more a selective presentation and interpretation of information than a “debunking.” Importantly, the entire post is based on a single (albeit interesting and thought provoking) book with a specific perspective. Given that the topic discussed is hotly debated, its not clear to me why you leaned so heavily on this single perspective. Regardless, there are several claims in this piece that are misleading. While there may be others I have not addressed here, I believe the four points I discuss are sufficient to add important nuance to the narrative presented here. (Full disclosure: I, like most people, am opposed to the use of nuclear weapons.)

1) "...which is especially relevant at a time when the US government is planning to spend a staggering $1.7 trillion over the next decades to build new nuclear weapons that could endanger the survival of all life on this planet."

This claim is misleading for two reasons. First, the projected spending is $1.7 trillion over THREE decades. The use of "next decades," without specifying how many decades, is not only odd but may give a casual reader the impression that the US is projected to spend $1.7 trillion over the next decade – which would truly be a staggering amount! Admittedly, I had initially read the sentence as “next decade” myself. Second, the spending is for the modernization of nuclear weapons and associated INFRASTRUCTURE. This is important to note, as much of the spending will likely not be spent directly on weapons. It's also important to ask how the nuclear weapons are to be "modernized." For example, is it possible that their blast radius may be reduced to allow for selective, tactical use of these weapons which, while still deadly, would serve to significantly reduce their destructive capacity? This may not be the case, but this is one important question to ask before implying that the purpose of these modernization efforts is to further "endanger the survival of the planet."

2) “First, it is important to contextualize the Japanese situation and mindset in 1945. Japan was facing a hopeless situation in the war. It had lost most of its overseas territories, resources, and allies. It had suffered heavy casualties and damage from conventional bombing raids by the US…Japan was aware of its inevitable defeat, but it was reluctant to accept unconditional surrender, which was demanded by US President Harry Truman, because it feared that it would mean the abolition of its monarchy and the execution of its emperor, whom the Japanese population at the time essentially revered as a god.”

Several inaccuracies and omissions here which are important to consider to fully contextualize Japan’s situation in 1945. First, contrary to the claim made in this paragraph, Japan still had control over most of its imperial territory by August 1945. Large swaths of East and Southeast Asia were still occupied by millions of Japanese troops. Second, how is “conventional bombing raids” defined here? What is “conventional” about carpet bombing a city? Tokyo was essentially wiped off the map in March 1945. By the standards of the time, what makes that “conventional” but not the nuclear bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, which had a much lower immediate death toll than the bombing of Tokyo? If the idea is to judge mid-20th century warfare (which was quite primitive) by 21st century standards, then I would argue neither are conventional nor acceptable. If the idea is to provide context, then this framing is utterly misleading. Third, Japan’s situation was hopeless a long time prior to 1945. By 1944, the United States had established air and naval superiority and Japan was unable to launch any major counter offensives. However, the Japanese were hoping to obtain more favorable peace terms (e.g., maintaining their colonies in Korea and Taiwan, maintaining a military, protecting the military junta) by raising the cost of prolonging the war for the allies through steadfast resistance. It is not true that their only concern was the emperor’s wellbeing throughout 1945 and up to August of that year (though this was a major concern). There was a firm belief among many in the ruling military junta of Japan that the US could still be brought to the negotiating table if the costs of further incursions into Japanese occupied territory or an invasion of the Japanese homelands were raised. In fact, up until the day that Japan ultimately surrendered – a week after two nuclear bombings and the Soviet declaration of war – half of Japan’s ruling military council still refused to surrender (a majority vote was needed) and ultimately the emperor himself had to intervene to break the deadlock (going so far as to take the unprecedented step of addressing the nation himself).

3) The entire section titled: “The US’s Knowledge and Options to End the War without the Bomb”

What is the point of this section? Presidents have many advisors and hear many different perspectives. A set of cherry picked quotes does not imply that Truman had full and complete information to make any decision with absolute certainty. We have the benefit of hindsight and can use our imaginations to consider all sorts of different scenarios at no cost, human or otherwise. But Truman did not have that luxury and he was undoubtedly receiving information pulling in both directions, including death toll estimates should the war continue through the end of 1945. Interestingly, one of the sources you pulled from Stone’s book makes it clear that Truman’s decision was not going to be an easy one: “On July 6, the US military’s intelligence assessment was ‘an entry of the Soviet Union into the war would finally convince the Japanese of the inevitability of complete defeat.’ But it added that ‘the Japanese believe that unconditional surrender would be the equivalent of national extinction.’” Based on this assessment, it's clear that Truman was still getting conflicting information about whether Japan had even accepted that its defeat was inevitable a month before the nuclear bombings. Furthermore, one might interpret this information as implying that even the Soviet Union’s entry into the war against Japan may not force their unconditional surrender because the Japanese may choose to continue fighting to avoid what they would perceive to be “national extinction.”

4) The sections titled: “The Motives Behind the Atomic Bombings” and “The Military and Moral Opposition to the Atomic Bomb by Truman’s Top Commanders”

Again, more selective quoting, with many of these coming after the war had ended and with the benefit of hindsight. Also, it's important to note that Eisenhower and McArthur were both involved in debates about whether to deploy nuclear weapons during the Korean war, and Eisenhower, as president, publicly threatened to use them against the Chinese during that war. Furthermore, quotes in which general’s acknowledge that Japan was essentially defeated aren’t surprising. There was absolutely no doubt among the allies that Japan’s defeat was inevitable by 1945. The important question was WHEN Japan could be made to surrender and at what cost. To put this cost into perspective, in the <30 days of fighting between the Soviet Union and Japan after the former’s declaration of war on the latter in August 1945, nearly 100,000 people were killed or wounded. If the fighting in Manchuria, and the rest of East and Southeast Asia had continued for several more months (including the invasion of the Japanese home islands), many hundreds of thousands more soldiers and civilians would likely have perished. Additionally, millions were already starving within Japan and in its occupied territories, and it's likely that many hundreds of thousands if not millions would have died due to famine if the war would have continued.

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